Classic bull market behavior. IBIT ETF is running up longer and longer and running down shorter and shorter. Time is the most important factor not price
I guess its just a coincidence that in 2024 the BTC ETF launched and made an all time low on January 23rd. Then in 2025 Trump was elected into office as the BTC president marking the top on the 20th. And now in 2026 the crypto market structure bill is set to pass around this same date. Throw in the first weekly high of the cycle in 2023 on that week and you're getting a pretty strong signal of whats happening here. If you don't understand time your missing half of the picture
There are far more cycles of importance in cycle theory than just the 4 year cycle. The higher the time frame becomes the stronger the cycle gets. These cycles are the major cycles of importance in this market going into 2026. Most analysts here have become far to reliant on the four year cycle and don't actually know anything about cycles beyond it. What has gotten people this far in the last 15 years will not be enough for whats next
Tell me what has changed? Lows coming in when lows are supposed to come in. Highs coming in on time, and in fact, running away from each other which most don't understand, but thats BULLISH.
You see a lot of really good analysts on here from past cycles that have become far too entrenched in the 4 year cycle. They have severe ptsd and bias towards it and are blinded because of it. There will be a new class of winners here that see the market for how it’s evolving in time and data while the old guard gets completely blindsided. Cycles are only as good as the conditions they’re built on.
Bad news bears. “The structure is still perfectly intact. Key Gann price levels have held to the tick. Time cycles have converged from 7 days all the way to 15 years. Time/price squares have called the exact day and dollar. This isn’t coincidence.”
Shortest sharpest correction of the cycle. "The fact that the price declines very fast scares people, they lose hope and decide that the market is going very much lower, when as a matter of fact a short decline in a very short period of time has corrected the technical position from a weak position to a strong one"
Everyone that planned/played the 4th year of the '4yr cycle' this year got completely rinsed. And now most are planning playing 2026 as the typical 1yr down period. I have a feeling thats not going to work out so well either
Years ending in 6 going back to 1870 on the SPX average 8.44% gain with 10/15 years being bullish including 5/5 in the last 50 years and 8/10 in the last 100 years. Every one in the last 50 years has been up double digits with only one year coming in below +20%.
Here's an interesting observation. If you measure the retracements from the cycle low, every single correction has hit and held the .375 gann level before resolving up again. Key area to say the least
Here's an interesting observation. If you measure the retracements from the cycle low, every single correction has hit and held the .375 gann level before resolving up again. Key area to say the least
Is it just a coincidence that BTC has made a major low every 84 months or 7 years? With the midpoint of this cycle also giving us significant lows. People only know about the four year cycle so they panic but there are far greater and far more important cycles to consider.