MatthewDixon
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Make or break time for #WIF
A break of long held support will be extremely -ve BUT a hold and bounce could yield a great return. This level therefore represent a great Risk/Reward level to potentially take a position with a close stop.
WIF-4.96%
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#DXY declining and likely to break long term support (since 2009)
This will likely soon translate to a #Crypto #BTC pump but may not be too long lived
BTC-1.09%
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Why might #BTC & #Crypto enjoy a Santa rally?
Quite why this phenomenon should occur is unclear, and in truth there are probably several factors behind each individual rally. But a few of the major theories on why markets rally in December include:
Seasonal goodwill among investors, who are more willing to buy around Christmas
Markets rising on lower volumes over the holiday period
Fund managers rebalancing their portfolios before the end of the year
People investing their Christmas bonuses
Bargain hunting before prices rise in January (known as the January effect)
However, the biggest cause
BTC-1.09%
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The feeling of extreme fear is waning and setting us up for a resumption of more positive sentiment as we prepare to enter 2026
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Rsk sentiment is mildly positive as markets move through a holiday-shortened week.
Central banks globally remain on hold, reinforcing a “wait-and-see” stance into early 2026.
Inflation narratives continue to shift toward disinflation rather than recession, keeping rate-cut expectations alive but not urgent.
#Bitcoin and #ALTs remain range-bound with low volume as year-end #liquidity thins.
#Volatility is compressed, increasing the risk of sharp but short-lived moves.
Price action reflects position management, not fresh conviction.
Bitcoin mining activity has declined, often interpreted as lat
BTC-1.09%
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A little bit of news/data may move an otherwise sleeping market.
80% chance of an #InterestRate hold at the end of Jan and its only data that will change that.
Still a good time to be long, awaiting the Christmas rally which could ignite in a couple of days (last 5 days DEC and 1st few days of Jan
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#PUMP is not looking good having broken long term support.
Not surprising given #Pump.fun is directly in the crosshairs of securities, consumer protection, and market integrity law.
The risk isn’t a sudden shutdown.
The risk is death by regulation, lawsuits, and restricted access.
PUMP-6.69%
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$SOL has been underperforming lately due to the #PUMPFUN investigations and KYC requirements dampening the creation of #MEMES on #SOL
Even so #Solana should rally in tune with the rest of the market over Christmas/New Year
SOL-2.51%
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Bullish Divergence following a corrective decline followed by a leading diagonal bodes well for #ETH into the new year.
I am long $ETH
ETH-1.89%
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Crypto Headlines
Crypto markets softened as traders reduced risk exposure heading into year-end.
#Bitcoin hovered around the $88K–$90K zone, with thin holiday liquidity contributing to muted movement.
Major altcoins including #ETH, #SOL, #ADA, #DOGE saw moderate pullbacks as profit-taking accelerated.
#XRP linked spot ETFs continued to stand out, recording 30 consecutive days of net inflows.
Solana and XRP led DeFi social activity, signalling strong user engagement despite market softness.
Analysts noted a return of the “Bart Simpson” pattern in Bitcoin — sharp rises followed by equally sharp
BTC-1.09%
ETH-1.89%
SOL-2.51%
ADA-2.49%
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Assuming the leading diagonal interpretation is correct then its likely wave 1 of a new 5 wave impulse higher.
As such we would expect wave 2 correction to complete (possibly this weekend) before a powerful wave 3 $BTC advance towards the #BTC ATH
BTC-1.09%
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#SPX valuations are becoming extremely stretched, similar to the Yr 2000 dot com crash valuations.
Not to say a correction is imminent but we need to watch carefully.
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Hold on for that weekend dip #BTC & #Altcoins
BTC-1.09%
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#BTC LEADING DIAGONAL ???
✔ There is a clear 5-wave downward ending structure into wave C
The low around 80,421 looks like your Wave C termination point.
✔ Price has broken upward from the steepest part of the downtrend
This is consistent with the beginning of a new motive wave.
The current upward movement is choppy and overlapping
This is consistent with a leading diagonal.
✔ Price is respecting diagonal resistance
Descending trendline aligns with the shape of a potential diagonal.
✔ Retracement aligns with fib levels typical for Wave 2
Price is hovering around the 0.5–0.618 retracement $BTC
BTC-1.09%
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#Bitcoin is a "coiled spring" waiting to blast HIGHER NEXT WEEK
$BTC to new ATH soon
Looking to position this weekend 🚀
#Altcoins should follow suit aggressively
BTC-1.09%
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#Inflation expected to accelerate going forward which may slow the pace of future rate cuts - At least it should but who knows? - If Trump gets his way we could have inflation sky rocketing 🚀 on his aggressive cut policy
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This is a great alternate #BTC wavecount to the one I posted earlier.
It shows an ABC correction down from the ATH, where C=A precisely.
Personally I favour this count and retain a cautiously Bullish outlook
BTC-1.09%
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