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Last night, Bitcoin once again dropped to around 85,000. Over the past month, it has been falling whenever it encounters resistance, with the trend remaining unchanged. The original plan yesterday was to short around 90,500, but the target was never reached. Recently, the entry points are always just a hair away from success.
Today’s structure: Bearish dominance, with a slight short-term correction, but the strength is limited. The main strategy remains “short on rebounds.”
Resistance levels: 86,500 / 87,000 / 87,500, strong resistance at 88,100-89,000
Support levels: 85,500; if broken below 8
BTC-1.36%
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Bitcoin Macro Outlook
Bitcoin is expected to consolidate until the end of January/February, then encounter resistance at the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA)( and continue into a full bear market phase.
Based on historical structure and macro environment analysis, the cycle bottom is expected to occur between September and October, with a target price range of $48,000 to $55,000.
Unless Bitcoin can regain stability above the 50-week EMA, any rallies remain technical corrections, and downward risk remains dominant.
BTC-1.36%
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A poor man is worthless in front of a beautiful woman, a beautiful woman is worthless in front of the wealthy, and the wealthy are worthless in front of power.
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This is why I called Tea Time since November. The current boring phase has several goals , one is to create liquidity below and the second with the only goal to avoid panic selling by market makers to create a controlled downside move. People who been holding for the last 1-2 years are now believing that this is just a ‘Correction’. They see the price at 90k and say that all is good and prices will be up again. They will be proven wrong this time. Their panic will start at 60-70k, and most likely their panic selling will cause the bottom and capitulation event we are looking to enter at!
这就是为何
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Anyone who has lost real money in the crypto world carries a blood and tears insight: quick money earned through luck will eventually be lost entirely due to complacency.
The core of truly standing firm in the market and achieving profit doubling is not about precise market prediction, but about adhering to ironclad rules and practicing what you preach.
These 8 practical rules are my core insights after traversing countless pitfalls and enduring losses to reach stable profits. Beginners who follow them can avoid 80% of traps; experienced traders can use them to further solidify their profit lo
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The 5 Levels of Earning in the Cryptocurrency World: From Following the Crowd to Wealth Creation for Top Players
The crypto space is never a gamble on size but a practice of “cognition determines returns.” The true path to making money involves progressing from “being repeatedly educated by the market” to “controlling market rules,” divided into 5 levels:

1. Lucky Break Period: Making quick money by following trends (Starting as a rookie)

When you first enter the scene, everyone is a “news-based trader”—buying when others shout “hundredfold coins,” holding onto “long-term beliefs,” and dou
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Bank of Japan Rate Hike May Devastate the Crypto Market
Core Event: On December 18-19, 2025, the Bank of Japan plans to increase the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%, marking the highest level in nearly 30 years since 1995. The market widely anticipates a 98% probability of this rate hike, which could trigger a tightening of global liquidity and pose significant volatility risks for the cryptocurrency market.
Event Summary
Hiking Background and Expectations: The Bank of Japan's rate hike is mainly driven by domestic inflation pressures (core CPI rising 2.5% year-over-year
BTC-1.36%
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ABABBABAvip:
Liquidity issues have always been troubling me
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