AiPeter

Farei uma live em meia hora, desta vez comendo muita carne.
Destaques do mercado global hoje (26 de junho)
Bolsa da Coreia do Sul dispara durante o pregão
O índice KOSPI da Coreia do Sul caiu drasticamente durante o pregão, com uma queda de mais de 8% em um determinado momento, acionando o mecanismo de leilão de primeira parada. Ações de peso de semicondutores, como Samsung Electronics e SK Hynix, lideraram as quedas, com o setor de chips de IA e armazenamento sendo o principal fardo.
Ações de tecnologia dos EUA sob pressão
Os futuros do mercado de ações dos EUA enfraqueceram, e o índice Nasdaq continuou sendo afetado pela negociação de alta avaliação da IA. O mercado está atento para ver se as principais linhas de tecnologia, como NVIDIA, semicondutores e computação em nuvem, conseguirão se estabilizar após a abertura do mercado dos EUA hoje à noite.
Mercados europeus recuam em conjunto
Os principais índices de ações europeus enfraqueceram amplamente no início do pregão, com ações de tecnologia, chips e cíclicas liderando as quedas. Após a forte volatilidade nos mercados asiáticos, o apetite ao risco dos investidores europeus diminuiu significativamente.
Preços do petróleo continuam a ajustar
Após a redução das tensões no Oriente Médio, a preocupação com a oferta de petróleo bruto diminuiu, com o WTI e o Brent continuando a cair, e o setor de energia sofrendo pressão no curto prazo.
Ouro oscila para baixo
A demanda por ativos seguros esfriou, e os preços do ouro estão flutuando com os rendimentos do dólar e dos títulos do Tesouro dos EUA, entrando em um ajuste de curto prazo.
Mercado de criptomoedas em consolidação após alta
BTC e ETH estão flutuando junto com os ativos de risco globais, e o mercado está aguardando a confirmação da direção do mercado de ações dos EUA. Se as ações de tecnologia continuarem sob pressão, o mercado de criptomoedas ainda pode passar por um ajuste conjunto.

MU short pode ser impulsionado para dentro
A alavancagem não deve exceder 5 vezes

O ciclo da dívida atinge o pico,
O antigo sistema de riqueza falha,
IA reconstrói a produtividade,
O capital global está sendo reprecificado.
O mercado não está em pânico.
O mercado está fazendo escolhas:
Quem assumirá a riqueza global nos próximos dez anos
Para quem não assistiu ao meu vídeo fixado, vá se atualizar

Obrigado a todos pelo apoio! Compartilhem mais, vocês podem marcar como opinião do Grande Tubarão para isenção de responsabilidade! Acabei de postar o MU com 5 vezes de aumento, não consigo sair, não sei por quê!

Fazer mídia por um ano e meio.
Neste um ano e meio, publiquei muito conteúdo, também investi muito tempo e energia, mas nunca consegui alcançar um resultado que me satisfizesse.
Para ser honesto, duvidei de mim mesmo mais de uma vez.
Será que não sou adequado para fazer mídia?
Será que simplesmente não tenho talento para isso?
Será que devo dedicar todo o meu tempo ao trading?
Porque o trading em si é uma prática de autodescoberta.
Estudar, revisar, esperar, executar, cada etapa exige foco, e a mídia constantemente dispersa meu tempo e energia.
Mas toda vez que vejo aqueles fãs antigos que sempre me apoiaram, eu hesito novamente.
Muitas oportunidades, na verdade, eu poderia ganhar dinheiro sozinho.
Mas sempre penso, se puder fazer com que as pessoas que sempre me apoiaram também possam se beneficiar, isso não seria mais significativo?
Então, estou sempre nesse conflito.
Continuar é cansativo.
Não fazer, também é difícil de abandonar.
Não quero deixar de lado aquelas pessoas que me acompanharam o tempo todo, nem aqueles que assistiram atentamente a cada um dos meus artigos.
Até agora, ainda não consegui entender qual é a melhor resposta.
Mas eu sei que há muitas pessoas que ganham dinheiro no mercado.
E ser alguém que é confiado a longo prazo é, na verdade, uma coisa ainda mais difícil.
Por isso, mesmo duvidando de mim mesmo frequentemente, mesmo pensando várias vezes em desistir.
Provavelmente, vou continuar insistindo.
Não necessariamente pelo volume de tráfego, nem necessariamente pela monetização.
Apenas quero ser digno das pessoas que sempre acreditaram em mim.

Não desça do carro, recompense e aumente a posição

【Declaração de Saída do Círculo】 Não quebre 1.5K, saia do círculo direto, desta vez apostando a vida com os principais!
Não olhe agora que perto de 2.100 parece que não cai mais, o sangue dessa limpeza só começou. Em 14 de maio, o Comitê Bancário do Senado aprovou o 《CLARITY Act》 por 15-9, a rede toda gritando sobre os dividendos regulatórios, e o que aconteceu? Uma grande vela negra varreu todos os touros, liquidando-os fisicamente. Isso é o padrão de “boas notícias chegando, inferno para os ursos”.
Hoje eu deixo claro: em 2 meses (até o final de julho), o Ethereum vai quebrar 1.5K. Se não quebrar, eu cancelo minha conta e saio do círculo, nunca mais tocarei em criptomoedas.
Isso não é emocional, vou desmontar a lógica política e de liquidação mais profunda com vocês:
1. A “pureza política” de Warsh, o novo chefe do Fed
O novo presidente do Fed, que assumiu em 15 de maio, acaba de pegar o comando, e quer provar em Washington que não é um “eco de Trump”. Esta semana, sua postura de governança será extremamente fria. O mercado aposta que ele vai adiar o corte de juros por causa da independência política, e se essa pressão continuar, ao quebrar a barreira de 2.000, dezenas de bilhões de dólares em alavancagem de touros na cadeia serão acionados instantaneamente, causando liquidações físicas em cadeia.
2. A “psicologia de squat” nas eleições de meio de mandato de Trump
Em novembro, haverá eleições de meio de mandato. Se você fosse um assessor da Casa Branca, faria o preço subir de forma calma de 2.100? Os eleitores nem perceberiam. O roteiro mais político é, em junho, junto com Warsh, derrubar o preço até perto de 1.500 (1.5K), criando um pânico de “fim do mundo” sufocante. Depois, na janela dourada de agosto a outubro, com a aprovação de leis e uma grande injeção de liquidez, puxar de volta para 4.000. Uma reversão em V de 300%, o show político perfeito.
3. Vácuo de análise técnica de 60 dias
O 《CLARITY Act》 agora será submetido à votação do plenário, mas os democratas certamente vão colocar obstáculos na cláusula de combate à lavagem de dinheiro (AML), forçando uma suspensão técnica. Esse período de vácuo é a desculpa perfeita para os principais usarem para criar a “fenda de sangue dourado”.
Não venha me falar da resistência azul em 2.110, aquele ponto não consegue impedir uma limpeza premeditada. 2.000 vai quebrar, a agulha de liquidação de 1.5K é o último bilhete de primeira classe barato que Trump deu para os velhos investidores fora do mercado.
Deixo a questão aqui: em 70 dias, a resposta
Ou 1.5K aparece, ou eu saio do círculo!
#ETH #CLARITYAct #沃什新政 #中期选举 #空头大清算

HYPE as próximas duas formas
Superar 64, seguir a tendência de queda em forma de M
Se não superar, cair diretamente

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Muitas pessoas pensam:
O mercado em alta começou por causa de boas notícias.
Mas ao revisar os ciclos passados, podemos perceber:
Na maioria das vezes,
primeiro sobe,
depois aparecem boas notícias,
e por fim todos acreditam nas boas notícias.
━━━━━━━━━━━━
【2018】
Bolha de ICO estoura
BTC:
20000
↓
3200
queda de 84%
Toda a rede dizia:
O setor de criptomoedas acabou.
Depois:
2019
BTC:
3200
↓
14000
alta de 337%
━━━━━━━━━━━━
【2020】
Pandemia global de colapso
Índice de pânico cai para números de um dígito.
BTC:
3800
↓
69000
alta de 1716%
Quando todos estavam fugindo de ativos de risco,
grandes fundos começaram a se posicionar silenciosamente.
━━━━━━━━━━━━
【2021】
Grande queda de 519
Migração de fazendas de mineração.
BTC:
64000
↓
29000
queda de 55%
O mercado achava que o mercado em alta tinha acabado.
Resultado:
meses depois, atingiu novamente uma nova máxima histórica.
━━━━━━━━━━━━
【2022】
Colapso da LUNA
Grandes instituições falem em cadeia
Plataformas centralizadas entram em crise
BTC:
69000
↓
15500
queda de 77%
Índice de pânico cai para números de um dígito.
O tópico mais discutido no mercado:
BTC vai zerar?
━━━━━━━━━━━━
【2023】
Aumento de juros contínuo;
Pressão regulatória pesada;
Crise bancária eclode.
Tudo isso é negativo.
Mas BTC:
15500
↓
31000
alta de 100%
Fundos inteligentes começaram a se posicionar.
━━━━━━━━━━━━
【2024】
Pedido de ETF da BD aprovado.
Capital tradicional entra oficialmente.
BTC:
31000
↓
73000
alta de 135%
O ETF se torna um dos produtos financeiros mais bem-sucedidos da história.
Mas atenção:
Quando o ETF foi aprovado,
BTC já tinha subido mais de 100%.
O ETF é um sinal de confirmação,
não um sinal de início.
━━━━━━━━━━━━
【2025】
Fundos globais começam a reprecificar ativos digitais.
ETF continua acumulando.
Instituições aumentam suas alocações.
BTC rompe nova máxima histórica.
Muitas pessoas pensam que a alta é por causa de boas notícias.
Na verdade,
grandes fundos já estavam posicionados antes mesmo das boas notícias serem divulgadas.
━━━━━━━━━━━━
【2026】
Conflitos geopolíticos se intensificam;
Liquidez global se contrai;
Índice de pânico cai novamente para números de um dígito.
O mercado volta a discutir:
O mercado em alta acabou?
━━━━━━━━━━━━
Olhando para o passado:
2018, pânico
Gera uma recuperação em 2019.
2020, pânico
Gera um super ciclo de alta.
2021, pânico
Gera novas máximas.
2022, pânico
Gera ciclo de ETFs.
2025, pânico
Gera onda de alta institucional.
2026, pânico
Está sendo testado pelo mercado.
━━━━━━━━━━━━
A história não se repete de forma simples.
Mas a natureza humana sim.
Em cada momento de medo extremo,
o mercado pensa:
“Desta vez, é diferente.”
Mas no final:
Quem vende na hora do pânico,
costuma vender no fundo.
Quem compra na hora do pânico,
costuma obter os maiores lucros do próximo ciclo.
━━━━━━━━━━━━
O mercado em alta nunca nasce de aplausos.
Ele nasce de dúvidas, medo e desespero.
Quando todos procuram motivos para vender,
os fundos inteligentes já estão procurando motivos para comprar.

Recomendo ler atentamente cada um dos meus textos longos, embora sejam enviados automaticamente por IA, todos foram editados de acordo com minha lógica, treinada por 1500 horas, e atualmente continuo treinando ela diariamente.
Se você não entende o mercado de hoje, leia este artigo.

Muitas pessoas ainda estão esperando a temporada de MEME, Wall Street já começou a levar ações para a cadeia
Nesta rodada, muitas pessoas ainda estão procurando o próximo MEME de cem vezes.
Mas o verdadeiro grande capital está fazendo outra coisa:
Levar o finanças tradicional para a blockchain.
⸻
A lógica do último mercado em alta foi:
História.
Conceito.
Narrativa.
Tráfego.
Quem contar histórias, sobe.
⸻
A lógica da próxima rodada de mercado em alta pode ser completamente diferente.
A única palavra-chave é:
RWA (ativos do mundo real)
Entendimento simples:
Transformar ativos do mundo real em ativos na cadeia.
Por exemplo:
* Títulos do governo
* Ações
* ETFs
* Fundos
* Ouro
* Imóveis
No futuro, todos poderão ser emitidos, negociados e liquidados na cadeia.
⸻
Muitas pessoas acham isso muito distante.
Na realidade, já aconteceu.
O mundo na cadeia de hoje já apareceu:
✅ Títulos do governo na cadeia
✅ Fundos de moeda na cadeia
✅ Ações americanas na cadeia
✅ ETFs na cadeia
✅ Negociação global 24 horas
⸻
O que realmente vale a pena refletir é:
Por que Wall Street quer fazer isso?
Por causa da eficiência.
⸻
Finanças tradicional:
Bolsa de valores
↓
Corretoras
↓
Instituições de liquidação
↓
Bancos custodiante
↓
Investidores
Existem muitos custos e perdas de tempo no meio.
⸻
Finanças na cadeia:
Emissor de ativos
↓
Blockchain
↓
Carteira digital
↓
Investidores
Negociação, liquidação e custódia acontecem simultaneamente.
A eficiência eleva uma era.
⸻
Muitas pessoas pensam que ETF é o ponto final.
Na verdade, o ETF é apenas o começo.
O ETF apenas permite que o capital tradicional entre no mercado cripto.
E o que o RWA quer fazer é:
Levar todo o mercado financeiro tradicional para a blockchain.
Isso é de uma escala completamente diferente.
⸻
Se no futuro:
Apple
Nvidia
Tesla
Microsoft
Amazon
pudessem negociar 24 horas como stablecoins.
Então, o que a blockchain suportará não será apenas criptomoedas.
Mas ativos financeiros globais.
⸻
Então, qual será o projeto que realmente se beneficiará no futuro?
Não são os projetos que contam histórias melhor.
Mas a infraestrutura financeira.
Por exemplo:
ETH
LINK
ONDO
AAVE
XRP
HBAR
ADA
E as blockchains públicas capazes de suportar fundos institucionais.
⸻
Minha visão é bem simples:
A última rodada de mercado em alta foi sobre sonhos.
A próxima rodada será sobre a atualização do sistema financeiro.
Enquanto os investidores de varejo ainda procuram a próxima "cachorra de terra" (token de baixo valor),
Wall Street já está reconstruindo a próxima geração de infraestrutura financeira.
E o RWA provavelmente será a maior narrativa de riqueza nos próximos anos.
#RWA #链上证券化 #BTC #ETH

#CPI
CPI será divulgado esta noite: o que realmente decide a direção do mercado de criptomoedas não é o CPI, mas o rendimento dos títulos do Tesouro dos EUA
Esta noite, todo o mercado está de olho no CPI dos Estados Unidos.
Muitas pessoas pensam:
CPI positivo = alta da moeda
CPI negativo = queda da moeda
Mas o que realmente influencia o mercado é:
Depois do anúncio do CPI, como o rendimento dos títulos do Tesouro de 10 anos dos EUA irá se comportar.
⸻
Por que o rendimento é mais importante que o CPI?
Porque o rendimento representa o padrão de precificação do capital global.
Entendimento simples:
Rendimento em alta:
✔ O dólar fica mais atraente
✔ Ativos de risco sob pressão
✔ Ações e criptomoedas sob pressão
Rendimento em baixa:
✔ Capital começa a buscar ativos com maior retorno
✔ A preferência por risco aumenta
✔ Mercado de criptomoedas se beneficia
⸻
Roteiro positivo
Se esta noite:
✅ CPI abaixo do esperado
ou
✅ CPI núcleo recua
O mercado vai interpretar:
A inflação está desacelerando.
Então:
* Rendimento dos títulos do Tesouro dos EUA cai
* Índice do dólar recua
* Ativos de risco sobem
Os maiores beneficiados podem ser:
BTC → ETH → SOL → ADA → HYPE
⸻
Roteiro neutro
Se os dados estiverem totalmente alinhados com as expectativas:
O mercado provavelmente continuará oscilando.
Pois o preço atual já precificou a maior parte das expectativas.
Nessa situação:
Alta não é fácil de se sustentar;
Baixa também não tem motivos suficientes.
⸻
Roteiro negativo
Se:
❌ CPI superar claramente as expectativas
Especialmente se o CPI núcleo subir novamente
O mercado reprecificará:
* Adiamento de cortes de juros
* Juros altos por mais tempo
* Liquidez se restringindo
Naquele momento:
O rendimento dos títulos de 10 anos pode saltar de:
4,6% → 4,7% → 4,8%
Ativos de risco enfrentarão pressão.
⸻
O sinal que mais me preocupa
Não é o número do CPI em si.
Mas:
Se o BTC e o rendimento dos títulos do Tesouro dos EUA estão subindo juntos
Se isso acontecer:
* Rendimento sobe
* BTC também sobe
Isso é um sinal de força extrema.
Indica que as instituições já começaram a ignorar o impacto das taxas de juros.
O capital está buscando ativos digitais realmente escassos.
⸻
Para os traders de spot
Curto prazo:
O CPI decide a volatilidade das próximas semanas.
Longo prazo:
Ainda são:
✔ A contínua acumulação em ETFs
✔ A lógica do estoque estratégico dos EUA
✔ Entrada de fundos de Wall Street
✔ Desenvolvimento de securitização on-chain e RWA
✔ Fusão de IA com finanças digitais
Essas estratégias centrais não mudaram.
⸻
Minha opinião
O mercado nunca consegue acertar exatamente o fundo.
Mas pode continuar a se posicionar na zona de baixa.
Ao invés de tentar adivinhar a próxima vela de alta ou baixa,
É melhor pensar na próxima rodada de alta do mercado,
Quais ativos realmente se tornarão os principais interesses das instituições.
Você acha que, após o anúncio do CPI esta noite:
O BTC vai primeiro disparar para uma nova máxima, ou vai primeiro passar por uma última limpeza?

BTC ETF：Ainda há saída líquida, mas a saída diminuiu significativamente
ETH ETF：Já passou a ter entrada líquida
Situação geral：Melhoria marginal, mas o BTC ainda não confirmou fluxo contínuo de retorno
8 de junho, ETF de Bitcoin à vista teve uma saída líquida total de aproximadamente 91,4 milhões de dólares
IBIT：-2,329 bilhões de dólares
FBTC：+59,4 milhões de dólares
BITB：+14,1 milhões de dólares
ARKB：+63,1 milhões de dólares
HODL：+4,9 milhões de dólares
GBTC：0
Total: -91,4 milhões de dólares
Antes havia uma grande saída;
Agora a saída diminuiu;
Alguns fundos começaram a entrar;
Mas o IBIT ainda apresenta uma saída considerável
8 de junho, ETF de Ethereum à vista teve uma entrada líquida total de aproximadamente 82,4 milhões de dólares
ETHA：+17,8 milhões de dólares
FETH：+26,9 milhões de dólares
ETHW：+28,6 milhões de dólares
CETH：+3 milhões de dólares
EZET：+1,3 milhões de dólares
ETHE：-3,7 milhões de dólares
ETHV：+0,5 milhões de dólares
ETH：+8 milhões de dólares
Total: +82,4 milhões de dólares
Fim de semana puxando o mercado:
Já aconteceu ✅
Segunda-feira, ETF virou fluxo de entrada:
ETH já virou fluxo positivo ✅
BTC ainda não virou, mas a saída diminuiu ⚠️
O stablecoin está se expandindo:
Ainda é preciso continuar observando ❌/a confirmar

HYPE49 próximo de realizar o lucro
Ainda não consegui acompanhar ao compartilhar e repostar

O segundo token voltou a testar perto de 1610, preenchendo a lacuna no gráfico diário, pode considerar entrar na spot, preço muito bom

Meus queridos fãs, entrem a bordo, uma grande reversão está acontecendo, ainda não podemos confirmar se é uma inversão!
Mas será muito forte!

Obrigado a todos pelo apoio, essa é a maior motivação para eu continuar atualizando.
$ADA A próxima rodada de mercado em alta ou reversão pode apresentar uma tendência de crescimento rápida, mas não há certeza de quando isso acontecerá, esse token sobe e cai de forma semelhante à Dogecoin.
Se você for deixado para trás, compre a spot e segure.
Esse token não precisa de alavancagem, a volatilidade é muito grande, até mesmo com alavancagem de duas vezes fui liquidado. Por fim, espero que todos compartilhem, deixando minha postagem na sua página, preciso que mais pessoas vejam, mais aplausos. ‌